Officials have not released a consolidated casualty figure, but local reports and accounts from residents point to deaths during confrontations in multiple provinces where anger over inflation, job insecurity and shortages has sharpened. Security deployments intensified around public squares and transport hubs, with plainclothes units and riot police dispersing crowds and carrying out arrests overnight.
The protests, which began as scattered demonstrations over wages and prices, have evolved into broader expressions of frustration with governance and economic management. Iran’s economy has been strained by years of sanctions, currency weakness and uneven growth, leaving households exposed to price shocks in food, fuel and housing. The national currency has lost significant value over time, pushing basic goods beyond the reach of many families outside major cities.
Authorities have portrayed the unrest as limited and driven by “instigators”, while pledging to address economic grievances through targeted subsidies and market oversight. At the same time, the security response has hardened. Videos circulating from provincial towns show baton charges, tear gas and mass detentions, reflecting a playbook previously used to quell unrest in the capital. Analysts say the shift towards rural provinces complicates enforcement because local networks are tighter and economic pressures are often more acute.
Power in Iran ultimately rests with the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, whose office has repeatedly framed protests as threats to national stability. Senior commanders have echoed that line, warning that disorder will not be tolerated. Yet officials have also acknowledged the economic pain felt by citizens, a dual message that underscores the leadership’s balancing act between coercion and concession.
While demonstrations in Tehran have thinned under heavy policing, reports indicate that gatherings have expanded in provincial centres where livelihoods depend on agriculture, small industry and public-sector wages. In these areas, price rises and delayed payments have a direct and immediate impact, fuelling anger that can spill quickly into the streets. Community leaders say the absence of robust local safety nets has amplified the sense of abandonment.
Human rights advocates warn that the reported deaths could mark the beginning of a more forceful phase, with security forces authorised to act decisively to prevent protests from coalescing into a national movement. Past episodes of unrest have followed a similar trajectory: initial tolerance, followed by rapid escalation once demonstrations spread geographically or adopt political slogans. The present pattern, with pressure shifting away from the capital, suggests a recalibration rather than a retreat by authorities.
Economic policymakers face limited room for manoeuvre. Inflation has remained elevated, eroding purchasing power, while efforts to stabilise prices through controls and subsidies have produced mixed results. Private businesses cite supply disruptions and regulatory uncertainty, and labour groups point to stagnant wages. The government has announced measures to monitor markets and curb profiteering, but implementation has been uneven, particularly outside large cities.
Diplomatically, Iran’s leadership is wary of external scrutiny, insisting that domestic issues will be handled internally. State media coverage has been restrained, focusing on official statements and minimising the scale of unrest. Independent reporting remains constrained, making verification difficult and contributing to competing narratives about the scope and intensity of the clashes.